Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.516288e-01 0.340639 0.444998 0.574400 0.728540 0.904334 1.117988
2026-01-18 1.301179e-01 0.229736 0.367212 0.561477 0.819549 1.141608 1.564475
2026-01-25 6.922068e-02 0.164312 0.319425 0.566431 0.925849 1.406853 2.075173
2026-02-01 3.203539e-02 0.110531 0.265545 0.544295 0.985980 1.614570 2.530427
2026-02-08 1.697055e-02 0.085881 0.247906 0.569668 1.113561 1.922708 3.141195
2026-02-15 7.453759e-03 0.062675 0.221522 0.571259 1.200894 2.177229 3.692173
2026-02-22 3.915085e-03 0.053177 0.219993 0.616231 1.361567 2.549959 4.430570
2026-03-01 1.643724e-03 0.042852 0.210837 0.642831 1.491828 2.882647 5.125288
2026-03-08 4.435872e-04 0.032195 0.194025 0.648302 1.583202 3.157736 5.744911
2026-03-15 4.133119e-05 0.022397 0.172173 0.635928 1.638244 3.375247 6.284411
2026-03-22 3.068798e-07 0.017016 0.161918 0.647942 1.739171 3.671636 6.954567
2026-03-29 NaN 0.012244 0.149184 0.649824 1.818929 3.935001 7.581102
2026-04-05 NaN 0.007454 0.129318 0.627621 1.849282 4.119481 8.097505
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004398 0.113354 0.611288 1.889338 4.322419 8.651122
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002821 0.104802 0.615241 1.973234 4.606692 9.345869
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001330 0.089594 0.591111 1.990713 4.770941 9.848479
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000943 0.088555 0.617669 2.127380 5.159320 10.733377
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000483 0.081577 0.619182 2.204510 5.439749 11.445102
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000416 0.085678 0.666684 2.396404 5.942522 12.542974
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000273 0.085155 0.694757 2.542482 6.363126 13.510889
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000119 0.079832 0.700514 2.633434 6.681605 14.312389
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000025 0.071117 0.687425 2.675142 6.906327 14.958423
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000006 0.068052 0.700115 2.784004 7.264805 15.841980